In the past 10 electoral years with new presidents, the S&P 500 has consistently shown an average increase of 12.2%. It's important to note that the majority of these gains occurred towards the end of the year.
This growth trend can be attributed, in part, to the implementation of economic and fiscal policies, as well as the emerging clarity regarding the political and regulatory agenda of the new government. The resulting stability from these measures creates a favorable environment for sustainable market growth.
Furthermore, investors' reactions to electoral events in the United States can impact global markets, highlighting the international interconnectedness of financial markets. Therefore, understanding these implications goes beyond national borders, requiring a comprehensive view of international economic interrelations.
In summary, the analysis of the S&P 500 performance in the past 10 electoral years underscores the market's resilience, driven by political decisions and an understanding of global dynamics. This provides valuable insights for investors when considering the evolving economic landscape during periods of political transition.
S&P500: The fourth year of a new president tends to see most of the gains later
January 21, 2024
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